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Mid-Year Outlook: The Path to Stability

Mid-Year Outlook: The Path to Stability

July 14, 2023

Now that we’re beyond the midpoint of the investing year, it’s a great time to look at where we’ve been—to help position for the latter half of the year. Our mid-year outlook does this with in-depth analyses, insights and perspectives. Today we wanted to share a few key highlights...  

Our investing outlook started with a theme of returning to normalcy and finding balance. And while we believe that theme will carry us through year-end, the year has come with some challenges. We saw it in the banking sector with three large bank failures in the spring, followed by up-to-the-deadline debate about the debt ceiling. Yet, despite the market gyrations these events caused, the overall financial system seems stable. Some bright spots include:

  • Inflation is under 5% at home, significantly lower than its 8.3% level this time last year
  • The fed funds rate is approaching its apex as the Federal Reserve (Fed) grapples with the unknown impacts yet to emerge from its aggressive tightening cycle
  • Global inflation has ticked down from its 8.7% high in 2022, and is following a slow descent to a projected 6.5% for 2023

These bright spots help shape our view on the next six months, which may come with some potential opportunities in equities, bonds, and industrials. Balancing things out, there are unknowns still out there—like recession and interest-rate volatility. The Fed has already indicated they may raise rates further if inflation continues to remain stubbornly high. What’s key here is how rate volatility resolves itself, as that will be a big driver for markets.

And while no one has a perfect crystal ball, our team at Platinum Wealth Management will be by your side, providing guidance and insights as the second half unfolds.

As always please reach out if you have any questions...